He says the amount of violent crime has decreased 23% this year compared with last year.
If that is an accurate representation of reality, it merits celebration.
However, we need to be careful. At least a couple of factors could explain this change including random variation and under-reporting.
But let’s assume the number is real and significant. Why did this happen? The chief attributes it to police department “programs” and partnerships in the community. There is really no further explanation so we don’t know precisely what he is referencing.
I would like to see it drop another 23% next year, and the following year…
Crime rates rise and fall on a national basis.
Every police chief “claims” his expensive local projects are the reason in order to justify the outlay of tax $$$.
How about the rise/fall in a neighboring city/county/state when they DIDN’T have the same projects?
Hmmmmm…in the past year 2.5 million illegal aliens have left our country.
Coincidence?
Those are interesting points, JayCee. Your points make sense.
I would really like to know more about the methodologies the chief refers to when he cites “programs”.
From CrimeGrade.org
Greensboro, NC Murder Rates . Not so rosy and nothing to brag about.
D+
Overall Crime Grade™
Violent Crime Grade
C-
Property Crime Grade
D+
Other Crime Grade
D+
Murder Crime Grade
D
The D grade indicates that the rate of murder is higher than that of the average US city. Greensboro ranks in the 19th percentile for safety, meaning it is safer than 19% of cities but less safe than 81%. This analysis applies only to the Greensboro area’s official city boundaries.
The murder rate in the Greensboro area is 0.1010 per 1,000 residents in the typical year. the Greensboro area residents generally consider the northwest part of the city to be the safest. Your chance of being a victim of murder in the Greensboro area varies by neighborhood – ranging from 1 in 7,223 in the southwest neighborhoods to 1 in 16,856 in the northwest.
The Cost of Crime™ in Greensboro, NC
The total projected cost of murder in Greensboro for 2025 is $152,047,478. This translates to approximately $190 per resident and $470 per household. On average, murder-related costs account for 0.5% of the median household income in Greensboro.
These figures reflect only tangible costs, which include the following:
1.) Criminal justice system costs (law enforcement, courts, and imprisonment): 30.7%
2.) Direct costs to victims (damaged property, medical expenses, and lost wages): 57.7%
3.) Lost economic contribution from offenders (time in prison or repeat offenses): 11.6%
The cost of murder per resident in Greensboro is $190 per year, which is $64 more than the national average and $27 more than North Carolina’s state average.
Using these methodologies, it can be calculated that the intangible cost of Murder in Greensboro totals $1,004,037,000 ($1,253 per resident). When added to the tangible costs, this brings the total estimated cost of murder to $1,156,084,477 ($1,443 per resident).
Wow, Fred. Thanks for the stats.
The city of Greensboro might strut regarding the 23% decrease, but we still have an enormous problem.