Some interesting polling results came out this past week. A Civitas poll demonstrated that the GOP Senate primary race stacks up as follows: McCrory 24%, Budd 19% and Walker 7%. Large numbers remain undecided.
If it were a two man race between McCrory and Budd, the results are Budd 34%, McCrory 33%.
McCrory likely enjoys much higher name recognition than the other two candidates because he served as Governor for four years. He was not a particularly good governor, although he was better than Cooper and is more familiar to voters than the other two candidates. McCrory is a progressive Republican.
The implications are clear. If both Budd and Walker remain in the race, we are at high risk of getting McCrory. During nearly every GOP Senate cycle during recent years, the conservative vote was split among two or more candidates; and the progressive (Tillis and Burr) rode to the nomination.
It is pretty clear that either Budd or Walker need to drop out of the race if we want to have a good chance of nominating a conservative.
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